CBS Investment

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The optimism of the global investors lasted only a few months. This week, to concerns about the global economy returned to the markets once again. Now, optimism is not enough for market participants, for positive attitudes they need economic data, confirming the end of the recession and early recovery of world economy, transmits Reuters.

However, until now there is nothing to please them with. At the beginning of the week the World Bank (WB) published another negative forecast that the world economy will decline to 2.9 per cent this year. This projection finally frustrated investors and caused a sharp decline in world stock and commodity markets.

Stock trades in the United States culminated with the decline of leading indices on June 16 2009. The conflicting data of macroeconomics, as well as disappointing corporate news warn investors that the long-awaited economic recovery will not come as soon as expected.

Even before the opening of the trading session, the U.S. Department of Commerce (US Department of Commerce) reported a sudden increase in construction of new homes. According to the data, this index increased by 17.2% – up to 532 thousand units in May compared with that of the previous month. This is significantly better than the expectations of analysts, which forecasted a growth of up to 500 thousand units, and it allowed bidders to forget about the recession for some time. Simultaneously, the Ministry of Labor of the States (US Department of Labor) reported that industrial prices (index PPI) of the United States increased by 0.2% in May 2009 compared to the previous month, while analysts had expected growth rate by 0.7%.

On June 8, the mood of players in the market of European government bonds was changing during the day, which ultimately led to the formation of a mixed price movements for most of the trading session. The mood of investors was formed mainly under the influence of macroeconomic statistics in Europe.

Statistics of the euro zone, published on Monday, showed growth of investors’ optimism. According to the German research group Sentix, optimistic sentiment of European investors reached the maximum in June of this year. Instead of the expected growth to minus 31.0 points, the rate soared from minus 34.3 points to minus 27.0 points in May.

According to experts Sentix, the main factor in the growth of optimism in business circles in Europe has been the improvement of macroeconomic statistics, released recently in the countries of the euro zone. Against the backdrop of slowing economic downturn, confidence in the region is growing that the worst times of recession are behind us and the beginning of the restoration of economic growth is not far off.